Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008762 0.010391 0.012368 0.014988 0.018434 0.022915 0.029356
2025-04-27 0.006843 0.008801 0.011477 0.015556 0.021927 0.032113 0.051201
2025-05-04 0.005674 0.007669 0.010607 0.015527 0.024220 0.040593 0.079526
2025-05-11 0.004906 0.006877 0.009948 0.015483 0.026316 0.049935 0.121337
2025-05-18 0.004278 0.006158 0.009212 0.015036 0.027407 0.057981 0.174424
2025-05-25 0.003739 0.005486 0.008412 0.014232 0.027405 0.063479 0.233139
2025-06-01 0.003344 0.004991 0.007825 0.013684 0.027760 0.070427 0.323720
2025-06-08 0.003136 0.004778 0.007699 0.014035 0.030483 0.087791 0.580222
2025-06-15 0.002898 0.004482 0.007368 0.013860 0.031750 0.101647 0.965485
2025-06-22 0.002629 0.004101 0.006823 0.013081 0.030976 0.106260 1.329537
2025-06-29 0.002484 0.003930 0.006665 0.013178 0.032973 0.127655 2.872543
2025-07-06 0.002391 0.003841 0.006659 0.013644 0.036473 0.165123 11.034636
2025-07-13 0.002311 0.003787 0.006748 0.014480 0.042330 0.242258 1368.174716
2025-07-20 0.002210 0.003682 0.006718 0.015016 0.047703 0.349202 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002082 0.003508 0.006510 0.014988 0.050698 0.456887 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001967 0.003349 0.006313 0.014946 0.053732 0.605765 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001842 0.003159 0.006017 0.014520 0.054493 0.730752 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001711 0.002945 0.005641 0.013754 0.052857 0.785050 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001605 0.002775 0.005355 0.013230 0.052432 0.895572 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001553 0.002715 0.005326 0.013566 0.057844 1.435148 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001481 0.002606 0.005162 0.013398 0.059839 1.950440 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001387 0.002445 0.004855 0.012655 0.057135 1.994882 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001339 0.002379 0.004780 0.012747 0.061004 3.206689 NaN